thesis

L'Intégration du facteur démographique dans la planification du développement en Algérie

Defense date:

Jan. 1, 1994

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Institution:

Paris, EHESS

Disciplines:

Directors:

Abstract EN:

For a few years, the demographic growing of the algerian population, which in the context of an economic criss became of the rareness of the wags of the satisfying the needs, spontaneously assessed to be an obstacle to the rise of the stadart of living, has became part of the political priorities of the country. Ever since, the state has done its best to reduce the fertility rate. Overing to the inerty of the demographic phenomena, it would be a total illusion to side with the reduction of the mortality rate, even if the happened to be confirmed in the future, it would lower the change of the population on the efforts on the economic development. This would be nothing but igoring the automatic effects of the changes occuring in the structures. Besides, we can't offered to forget about the consequences which would certainly entail a decrease of the natality rate of the population. The industrial options, the reglection of the agricultural development, the repartition of the investments, a bad planification, according to us, just as many factors which explain the feeble results of the production and, therefore, the economic crisis. Finally we will understand that it is wrong to assert that the situation in which algeria find itself, is due to an uncontrolled demographic increase or of an imporpriate orientation of the nothing but the effort of the development. These two elements were linked and entail difficulties which can be considered as part of the crisis.

Abstract FR:

Depuis quelques annees, la croissance demographique de la population algerienne qui - dans un contexte de crise economique marquee par la rarete des moyens de satisfaction des besoins - apparaissait spontanement un obstacle a l'elevation du niveau de vie, a integre le champ des priorites politiques du pays. Des lors, l'ensemble des pouvoirs publics n'a cesse d'insister sur la necessite de reduire la fecondite. En egard a l'inertie des phenomenes demographiques, il serait illusoire de soutenir que la reduction de la fecondite, meme si elle se confirmait dans le temps amoindrirait dans l'immediat la charge de la population sur les efforts du developpement economique. Ce serait alors ignorer les effets quasi-mecaniques des changements des structures, comme il est, au demeurant, peu recommandable de perdre de vue les consequences que ne manquerait pas d'engendrer dans le long terme une baisse de la fecondite sur les structures de la population. Les options industrielles, le gigantisme economique, la negligence du developpement agricole, la repartition des investissements planifies, la defaillance de l'outil de planification mal maitrise, sont, a notre sens, autant de facteurs qui expliquent les faibles performances de l'appareil productif et par la meme la crise economique. L'accroissement demographique incontrole et le systeme economique ont concouru ensemble, eu egard aux rapports qu'ils entretiennent, a l'emergence des difficultes du developpement algerien.